Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 119.597869 138.784917 161.759641 191.815400 230.911442 281.274525 353.258447
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 93.404728 115.890692 145.830253 190.336897 258.256412 364.991795 563.676961
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 79.914390 103.173677 136.224165 189.636708 280.909541 448.599131 845.936484
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 69.718406 92.468071 126.282270 184.329532 292.495531 518.788292 1193.873306
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 62.830025 85.212961 119.766359 182.283496 308.365118 608.066600 1768.958183
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 58.111611 80.430337 116.109901 183.973816 332.044306 735.708346 2916.498213
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 53.071370 74.463515 109.483945 178.456423 337.777678 820.900569 4384.660744
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 51.354036 73.550467 111.227618 189.592452 388.284220 1116.216171 12422.707420
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 47.562427 68.792638 105.465750 183.829311 392.288048 1241.415438 25629.571568
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 45.107231 66.031588 102.965758 184.611186 415.754027 1507.269927 140428.092657
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 42.596123 62.936482 99.447071 182.349814 429.288281 1758.114372 NaN
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 41.927241 62.969056 101.883143 194.661707 498.989939 2662.054843 NaN
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 42.197530 64.897541 108.767576 221.463075 654.605028 6165.513727 NaN
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 39.898561 61.927216 105.239470 219.901726 691.721622 8999.577717 NaN
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 37.919798 59.365298 102.223842 219.020293 733.588307 14218.542954 NaN
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 35.745649 56.253004 97.643574 212.465581 740.730910 19551.540459 NaN
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 34.062359 53.953290 94.601090 209.943414 771.538024 33676.508387 NaN
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 32.832664 52.434359 93.128536 212.026843 836.643032 98474.378171 NaN
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 31.166930 49.943140 89.179610 205.233659 835.303101 190046.810921 NaN
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 30.822119 50.034071 91.204605 218.966353 1012.893357 NaN NaN
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 29.365679 47.792607 87.480234 211.848654 1007.269242 NaN NaN
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 28.437497 46.564113 86.073881 212.812956 1082.972272 NaN NaN
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 27.390989 45.029447 83.778389 210.025120 1120.181646 NaN NaN